Episode 29: Inflation is under control, and we might get a rate cut in 2024
- Nonfarm payroll employment increased by a solid 272,000 jobs in May, reports the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- Still, the U.S. unemployment rate remained steady at 4%.
- April’s total construction spending dipped slightly (0.1%) from March, but was up a robust 10% year-over-year.
- Private residential construction edged up 0.1%, despite economic uncertainties.
- Public construction spending decreased 0.2%, particularly in educational and highway projects.
- Inflation is stable, with the Consumer Price Index unchanged in May (following a 0.3% rise in April).
- The Energy index fell by 2%, driven by lower gasoline prices, while the Shelter index rose by 0.4% for the fourth consecutive month.
- Producer prices declined 0.2% in May (after a 0.5% increase in April).
- The Federal Reserve kept policy rates unchanged for the moment.
- The Summary of Economic Projections suggests one rate cut could happen in 2024, with a possibility of that occurring in November or September.
For more information on the state of the U.S. Economy, including forecasts, watch all the episodes of the Economy Express series.